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Red39
28824.9
147725.2
95173.8
Blue41
731218.2
90511.6
93075.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333010204050603941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.5
18.018.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.4
End1.4
red by 7.0
18.20.7
14.713.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Second
2882
#28
4.90.5
8.89.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
blue by 0.8
9307
#26
5.70.7
5.95.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
Third
9517
#32
3.80.5
2.83.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
red by 2.2
9051
#33
1.60.7
7.06.3
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned