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Red29
11826.7
90816.0
81446.8
Blue21
30291.7
88183.9
95215.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36702030405060702921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.70.0
19.819.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 20.9
9521
#19
5.80.3
5.85.4
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Second
8144
#12
6.80.0
5.65.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
red by 2.9
8818
#35
3.90.3
1.91.6
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Third
9081
#24
6.00.0
3.53.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.2
End0.5
red by 4.3
3029
#39
1.70.3
2.42.1
Auto0.9
Teleop0.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned