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Red33
817711.0
11826.7
59237.5
Blue58
62421.0
81446.8
731218.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643303540505560653358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.70.9
19.818.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 5.6
624
#2
21.00.7
19.919.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
Second
8177
#15
11.00.9
15.214.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.5
blue by 7.2
18.20.7
13.913.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Third
5923
#29
7.50.9
6.25.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 0.8
8144
#12
6.80.7
5.64.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned