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Red56
947811.7
23123.2
90816.0
Blue54
147725.2
951211.9
74187.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323910205060705654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#5
23.22.9
15.318.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
blue by 2.0
25.21.1
18.519.6
Auto9.4
Teleop14.4
End1.4
Second
9478
#11
11.72.9
10.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 0.2
9512
#14
11.91.1
8.89.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Third
9081
#24
6.02.9
3.56.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 1.0
7418
#31
7.01.1
6.97.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned