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Red32
95215.8
463916.8
85568.2
Blue6
93075.7
28824.9
43282.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261901030405060326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.0
13.014.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 11.1
9307
#26
5.71.3
5.23.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
Second
8556
#10
8.21.0
4.35.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 3.3
2882
#28
4.91.3
9.38.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
Third
9521
#19
5.81.0
5.46.5
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
red by 3.4
4328
#38
2.41.3
3.42.1
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed