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Red9
95144.8
30291.7
90511.6
Blue18
45873.9
95173.8
58297.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15170102030405060918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9514
#36
4.80.6
5.75.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 2.3
5829
#17
7.20.2
8.48.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Second
3029
#39
1.70.6
2.11.5
Auto0.9
Teleop0.3
End0.5
blue by 2.2
4587
#23
3.90.2
3.33.1
Auto1.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Third
9051
#33
1.60.6
6.35.7
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.4
End0.2
blue by 2.2
9517
#32
3.80.2
3.33.1
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed