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Red35
81446.8
463916.8
951211.9
Blue53
94485.6
58297.2
851513.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332301030405060703553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.6
14.014.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 3.5
8515
#18
13.30.7
10.010.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Second
9512
#14
11.90.6
9.910.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 4.7
5829
#17
7.20.7
8.18.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Third
8144
#12
6.80.6
4.95.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
red by 1.2
9448
#21
5.60.6
3.74.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned