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Red33
59237.5
95215.8
731218.2
Blue18
37283.1
95144.8
258224.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26360102030405060703318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.6
13.213.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 5.8
24.01.4
24.723.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End1.5
Second
5923
#29
7.50.6
5.35.9
Auto1.2
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 2.7
9514
#36
4.81.4
5.23.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Third
9521
#19
5.80.6
6.57.1
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
red by 2.7
3728
#37
3.11.4
1.80.4
Auto1.7
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed