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Red41
92892.7
74187.0
62421.0
Blue21
817711.0
12555.2
28824.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280102040506070804121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
21.00.8
19.219.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
red by 10.1
8177
#15
11.01.1
14.313.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Second
7418
#31
7.00.8
7.98.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End0.3
red by 1.8
1255
#27
5.21.1
4.02.9
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
Third
9289
#40
2.70.8
2.63.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 2.2
2882
#28
4.91.1
8.06.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed