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Red9
66457.5
92892.7
817711.0
Blue61
91218.1
731218.2
951211.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2531010204050607080961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#15
11.01.4
13.211.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.5
blue by 7.2
18.22.8
13.816.6
Auto8.2
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Second
6645
#16
7.51.6
7.05.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.2
blue by 4.4
9512
#14
11.92.8
10.513.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Third
9289
#40
2.71.4
3.31.9
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 5.3
9121
#34
8.13.0
3.16.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed