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Red55
12555.2
37283.1
11826.7
Blue32
851513.3
95173.8
74187.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262410203040505532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.72.3
19.221.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 13.3
8515
#18
13.31.0
10.711.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Second
1255
#27
5.22.2
2.95.1
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
blue by 1.8
7418
#31
7.01.0
8.89.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Third
3728
#37
3.12.2
0.42.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.9
End0.5
blue by 0.7
9517
#32
3.80.9
3.44.2
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed