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Red19
90511.6
64886.1
95215.8
Blue13
947811.7
83693.8
28824.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1629010204050601913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.11.3
7.66.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 5.6
9478
#11
11.71.6
13.311.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Second
9521
#19
5.81.2
7.15.9
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
red by 0.9
2882
#28
4.91.6
6.95.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
Third
9051
#33
1.61.2
1.70.5
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.4
End0.2
blue by 2.2
8369
#22
3.81.6
4.73.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed