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Red31
91218.1
58297.2
258224.0
Blue40
88183.9
296910.0
147725.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413201020506070803140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.5
23.322.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End1.5
blue by 1.2
25.21.0
18.719.6
Auto9.4
Teleop14.4
End1.4
Second
9121
#34
8.10.5
6.05.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
blue by 1.9
2969
#13
10.01.0
8.59.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
5829
#17
7.20.5
6.76.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
red by 3.3
8818
#35
3.91.0
2.83.8
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed