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Red31
857615.8
95156.6
94485.6
Blue38
95144.8
62421.0
43282.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829101520253540453138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.9
12.411.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
blue by 5.3
624
#2
21.00.7
19.920.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
Second
9515
#30
6.61.0
8.67.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End0.4
red by 1.8
9514
#36
4.80.7
3.74.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Third
9448
#21
5.60.9
4.43.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
red by 3.2
4328
#38
2.40.7
2.33.0
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed