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Red42
951211.9
749213.3
12555.2
Blue22
95144.8
93075.7
95215.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371701030506070804222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7492
#20
13.30.1
13.313.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 7.5
9521
#19
5.80.4
6.25.8
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Second
9512
#14
11.90.1
12.612.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 6.2
9307
#26
5.70.4
6.15.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
Third
1255
#27
5.20.1
5.15.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
red by 0.4
9514
#36
4.80.5
5.55.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed