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Red33
62421.0
94485.6
88183.9
Blue18
95173.8
92892.7
296910.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36150102030405060703318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
21.00.2
20.921.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
red by 11.0
2969
#13
10.00.1
10.110.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Second
9448
#21
5.60.2
5.45.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
red by 1.8
9517
#32
3.80.1
3.73.8
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Third
8818
#35
3.90.2
3.73.9
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
red by 1.2
9289
#40
2.70.1
2.62.7
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed