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Red18
750311.4
258314.3
27894.9
Blue53
61717.5
52127.8
541123.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414601002003004001853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#28
14.31.6
18.116.5
Auto6.9
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 9.0
5411
#11
23.30.4
22.523.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
7503
#29
11.41.6
11.710.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
red by 3.6
5212
#22
7.80.4
9.39.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
2789
#24
4.91.6
6.95.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.5
blue by 2.6
6171
#12
7.50.4
9.49.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed