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Red23
887414.4
94929.2
271822.6
Blue50
543115.9
912824.3
367626.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59830501001502350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.62.2
25.323.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End1.0
blue by 3.7
26.41.5
30.028.5
Auto12.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
8874
#16
14.42.2
17.215.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 9.9
24.31.5
23.922.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.2
Third
9492
#26
9.22.2
14.011.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 6.7
15.91.5
17.916.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed