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Red67
712123.4
910520.8
52127.8
Blue37
367626.4
636919.6
419214.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567002040801001201401606737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
23.323.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
blue by 3.0
26.40.5
26.926.4
Auto12.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
9105
#19
20.80.3
20.821.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End1.8
red by 1.2
19.60.5
20.119.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.7
Third
5212
#22
7.80.3
7.78.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 6.3
4192
#20
14.10.5
14.614.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.5