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Red58
99941.5
543115.9
887414.4
Blue49
99906.4
912824.3
61717.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041203050605849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.6
15.315.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
blue by 8.4
24.30.3
24.024.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.2
Second
8874
#16
14.40.6
13.814.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 6.9
6171
#12
7.50.3
7.27.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Third
9994
#13
1.51.0
0.51.5
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.5
blue by 4.9
9990
#21
6.40.4
6.06.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.8
End0.7