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Red86
99934.8
14836.0
914031.9
Blue82
999815.0
271429.6
873211.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834601001508682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#10
36.00.2
36.336.5
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
red by 6.4
2714
#15
29.60.7
27.528.1
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End1.4
Second
31.90.2
32.132.3
Auto11.8
Teleop18.9
End1.2
red by 16.9
15.01.1
11.412.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Third
9993
#25
4.80.3
5.25.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.4
blue by 6.9
8732
#17
11.70.7
9.610.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6