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Red33
87328.7
464116.5
75217.2
Blue18
95334.0
284819.6
97862.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2928102040503318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.1
10.510.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End1.7
blue by 3.1
2848
#10
19.60.6
16.616.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
8732
#13
8.70.1
6.36.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
red by 4.7
9533
#29
4.00.6
2.41.8
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
Third
7521
#21
7.20.1
7.06.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End0.3
red by 5.0
9786
#27
2.21.0
8.07.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed