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Red33
617110.8
75036.7
129623.0
Blue22
69018.6
711910.0
57888.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3128102040503322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.6
11.712.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.1
red by 12.9
7119
#17
10.01.5
8.36.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Second
6171
#16
10.80.6
10.110.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8
red by 2.2
8.61.5
8.06.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Third
7503
#23
6.70.6
5.76.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 1.9
6901
#20
8.61.5
9.27.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned