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Red59
557217.4
95334.0
543113.4
Blue55
912827.7
541710.9
857312.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27440102040506070805955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.42.3
10.913.2
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
blue by 10.2
27.71.3
20.822.2
Auto11.5
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
5431
#12
13.42.3
14.016.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End1.2
red by 1.1
12.21.3
8.69.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Third
9533
#29
4.01.4
1.83.1
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
blue by 6.9
5417
#28
10.91.3
8.69.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed