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Red20
75217.2
712114.4
75036.7
Blue36
57888.6
129623.0
32829.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633010204050602036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#15
14.40.7
10.910.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.5
End0.9
blue by 8.6
23.00.6
12.312.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.1
Second
7521
#21
7.20.7
6.96.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End0.3
blue by 2.1
3282
#22
9.30.6
9.810.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Third
7503
#23
6.70.7
6.35.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 1.9
8.60.6
6.57.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed