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Red50
711910.0
975223.1
94076.0
Blue56
419211.5
373515.6
70916.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2828102040505056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.12.1
13.615.7
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 7.5
3735
#18
15.61.5
8.910.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
7119
#17
10.02.1
6.88.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
blue by 1.5
4192
#19
11.51.5
9.911.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Third
9407
#24
6.02.1
6.28.2
Auto4.3
Teleop0.8
End0.8
blue by 0.7
7091
#14
6.71.5
5.16.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed