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Red45
419211.5
75036.7
57888.6
Blue44
543113.4
14829.3
75217.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2258040801004544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#19
11.50.5
11.410.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
blue by 17.8
148
#1
29.31.0
25.724.7
Auto10.7
Teleop16.0
End2.5
Second
8.60.5
7.16.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 4.7
5431
#12
13.41.0
16.015.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
7503
#23
6.70.5
5.65.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 0.5
7521
#21
7.21.0
6.35.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed