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Red44
557217.4
70916.7
90347.2
Blue39
617110.8
676812.6
95334.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272301020304050604439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.41.7
13.615.3
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
red by 4.8
12.61.4
7.79.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
9034
#26
7.21.7
3.45.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 3.6
6171
#16
10.81.4
10.612.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
7091
#14
6.71.7
6.58.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
red by 2.7
9533
#29
4.00.8
3.14.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed