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Red76
87328.7
912827.7
65263.5
Blue35
174514.0
373515.6
32829.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383520305060707635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.8
22.222.9
Auto11.5
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 12.1
3735
#18
15.60.3
10.310.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
8732
#13
8.70.8
6.06.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 5.2
1745
#11
14.00.2
11.611.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Third
6526
#25
3.50.8
5.96.7
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 5.8
3282
#22
9.30.3
10.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed