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Red13
70916.7
543113.4
97862.2
Blue31
712114.4
90347.2
617110.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33320204060801331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#12
13.42.3
15.012.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 1.0
7121
#15
14.40.2
11.711.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Second
7091
#14
6.72.3
8.25.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 4.1
6171
#16
10.80.2
12.012.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
9786
#27
2.22.3
6.84.5
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End0.4
blue by 5.0
9034
#26
7.20.2
5.25.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed