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Red44
32829.3
14829.3
95334.0
Blue59
419211.5
975223.1
87328.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453701001502002504459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
29.30.1
26.426.4
Auto10.7
Teleop16.0
End2.5
red by 6.2
23.11.7
19.521.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
3282
#22
9.30.1
8.98.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 2.2
4192
#19
11.51.7
9.711.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Third
9533
#29
4.00.0
4.44.3
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
blue by 4.7
8732
#13
8.71.7
5.06.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed