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Red19
57888.6
541710.9
174514.0
Blue78
373515.6
129623.0
557217.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33530204060801001978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#11
14.00.9
13.412.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.0
End0.1
blue by 9.0
23.03.4
18.021.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.1
Second
5417
#28
10.91.3
11.09.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 6.5
17.43.2
14.617.7
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Third
8.61.3
7.86.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 7.0
3735
#18
15.63.2
12.715.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed