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Red50
14829.3
87328.7
70916.7
Blue42
284819.6
69018.6
543113.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060801005042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
29.30.2
26.426.1
Auto10.7
Teleop16.0
End2.5
red by 9.7
2848
#10
19.60.5
18.017.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
8732
#13
8.70.2
6.76.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 4.6
5431
#12
13.40.7
11.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
7091
#14
6.70.2
7.27.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 1.9
6901
#20
8.60.7
9.89.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed