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Red54
65263.5
541710.9
975223.1
Blue41
557217.4
617110.8
464116.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38450102030506070805441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.5
21.122.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 5.6
17.40.1
14.514.4
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Second
5417
#28
10.91.6
9.911.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 5.6
16.50.1
14.914.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Third
6526
#25
3.51.5
3.95.4
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 7.3
6171
#16
10.80.1
10.710.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed