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Red49
129623.0
419211.5
90347.2
Blue56
75036.7
284819.6
676812.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4134102030506070804956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.8
21.422.1
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.1
red by 3.4
2848
#10
19.60.9
17.518.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
4192
#19
11.50.8
9.610.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
blue by 1.1
12.61.4
11.312.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
9034
#26
7.20.8
5.26.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End1.2
red by 0.5
7503
#23
6.71.4
3.24.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed