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Red56
912827.7
57888.6
75217.2
Blue47
975223.1
464116.5
70916.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060801005647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
24.725.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 4.6
23.11.2
22.621.4
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
8.60.2
6.56.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 7.9
16.51.2
14.813.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Third
7521
#21
7.20.2
7.27.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End0.3
red by 0.5
7091
#14
6.71.1
6.65.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed