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Red51
99859.5
542719.9
851523.6
Blue38
837018.2
944811.8
88799.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464202060801001205138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.1
18.418.3
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
red by 5.4
8370
#12
18.20.3
16.616.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Second
5427
#15
19.90.1
20.520.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 8.2
9448
#19
11.80.3
4.84.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End-0.0
Third
9985
#30
9.50.2
3.73.5
Auto6.8
Teleop1.2
End1.4
red by 0.4
8879
#39
9.10.3
16.816.5
Auto5.4
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed