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Red52
808820.1
857617.0
32419.7
Blue98
288125.8
41817.3
384744.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811060501502005298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#29
20.12.3
25.523.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End1.5
blue by 24.4
44.40.2
46.346.6
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
Second
324
#33
19.72.3
21.118.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End0.5
blue by 6.1
2881
#11
25.80.2
25.625.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
8576
#41
17.02.3
29.427.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.4
blue by 0.3
418
#32
17.30.2
20.721.0
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed