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Red58
74928.3
542719.9
147738.2
Blue68
543119.0
288125.8
947824.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698502040601001201401605868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#10
38.20.4
34.634.2
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.9
red by 12.4
2881
#11
25.80.5
25.825.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
5427
#15
19.90.4
20.420.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
blue by 4.6
24.50.5
21.621.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
7492
#38
8.30.4
9.28.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 10.7
5431
#18
19.00.5
27.827.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed