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Red39
25877.6
635716.0
944811.8
Blue30
999817.3
808820.1
41817.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246904060801001201401603930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#26
16.00.7
13.814.5
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 4.0
8088
#29
20.11.8
23.321.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End1.5
Second
9448
#19
11.80.7
4.55.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End-0.0
blue by 5.6
9998
#16
17.33.0
12.69.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
2587
#37
7.60.7
8.99.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 9.7
418
#32
17.31.8
21.019.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed