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Red63
851523.6
88799.1
463917.5
Blue123
999525.0
384744.4
636921.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5296015020063123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.3
18.318.0
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
blue by 20.8
44.41.8
46.648.4
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
Second
4639
#23
17.50.3
17.317.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 7.4
25.03.1
15.518.6
Auto13.6
Teleop11.2
End0.1
Third
8879
#39
9.10.3
16.516.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 12.3
6369
#13
21.51.8
23.425.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsEarned