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Red63
12554.5
32324.6
975226.4
Blue44
32419.7
62424.3
912827.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499301502002506344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9752
#31
26.40.9
28.029.0
Auto6.4
Teleop19.2
End0.9
blue by 0.8
9128
#21
27.32.6
31.628.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
Second
323
#5
24.60.9
14.715.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.3
End1.7
red by 0.4
624
#34
24.32.6
28.225.6
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
Third
1255
#40
4.50.9
6.47.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.7
End1.5
blue by 15.2
324
#33
19.72.6
18.816.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed