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Red40
941827.7
541421.0
45617.9
Blue48
541710.9
543119.0
74928.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964401502004048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#22
27.72.7
27.524.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
red by 8.8
5431
#18
19.00.2
27.327.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
5414
#17
21.02.7
27.725.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 10.1
5417
#20
10.90.2
9.59.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Third
456
#27
17.92.7
25.522.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.0
red by 9.6
7492
#38
8.30.2
8.88.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed