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Red51
433621.0
288125.8
88799.1
Blue33
635716.0
851523.6
912111.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714901001502005133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#11
25.81.1
25.424.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 2.2
23.60.9
18.017.1
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
Second
4336
#24
21.01.1
20.219.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 5.0
6357
#26
16.00.9
14.513.6
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Third
8879
#39
9.11.1
16.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 2.4
9121
#35
11.50.9
14.413.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed