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Red83
41817.3
947824.5
542719.9
Blue43
637716.8
680045.9
99859.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6581020401001201401608343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.5
21.222.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3
blue by 21.4
45.91.9
44.342.3
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Second
5427
#15
19.91.5
20.021.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 3.1
6377
#25
16.81.9
25.623.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Third
418
#32
17.31.5
19.220.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 7.8
9985
#30
9.53.2
2.3-0.9
Auto6.8
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed