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Red69
941827.7
99859.5
32324.6
Blue73
851523.6
680045.9
41817.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36970501506973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#22
27.72.0
24.826.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
blue by 18.2
45.90.5
42.341.8
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Second
323
#5
24.62.0
15.617.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.3
End1.7
red by 1.0
23.60.5
17.116.6
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
Third
9985
#30
9.53.3
-0.92.4
Auto6.8
Teleop1.2
End1.4
blue by 7.8
418
#32
17.30.5
20.720.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed