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Red36
636921.5
912111.5
975226.4
Blue87
541710.9
944811.8
300546.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7474304050607080901001103687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9752
#31
26.42.0
29.027.0
Auto6.4
Teleop19.2
End0.9
blue by 20.2
46.61.3
50.151.4
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End2.3
Second
6369
#13
21.52.0
22.920.9
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
red by 9.7
9448
#19
11.81.3
8.29.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End-0.0
Third
9121
#35
11.52.0
14.212.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 0.6
5417
#20
10.91.3
8.910.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed