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Red74
680045.9
589215.3
837018.2
Blue36
912111.5
74928.3
25877.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104330501502007436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.8
44.143.3
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 34.4
9121
#35
11.50.5
16.716.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Second
8370
#12
18.20.8
17.416.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
red by 9.9
7492
#38
8.30.5
9.79.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Third
5892
#36
15.30.8
24.423.6
Auto8.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
red by 7.7
2587
#37
7.60.5
11.711.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed