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Red45
11837.4
32419.7
433621.0
Blue62
541421.0
542719.9
808820.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104870501502004562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
37.43.1
41.037.9
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End5.5
red by 16.4
5414
#17
21.01.8
30.829.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
4336
#24
21.03.1
26.423.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 1.0
8088
#29
20.11.8
27.425.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End1.5
Third
324
#33
19.73.1
24.521.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End0.5
blue by 0.2
5427
#15
19.91.8
22.320.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed