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Red18
463917.5
541421.0
637716.8
Blue83
62424.3
851523.6
944811.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755102040601001201401883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#17
21.03.1
25.322.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.9
blue by 3.3
624
#34
24.32.0
21.523.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
Second
4639
#23
17.53.1
17.814.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 6.1
23.62.0
17.219.2
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
Third
6377
#25
16.83.1
21.818.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 5.1
9448
#19
11.82.0
9.611.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed